Emmanuel Macron strongly shaken by the Nupes with only 21,442 more votes and a flop from the far right.
The coalition around Emmanuel Macron and the left-wing alliance Nupes arrived almost tied on Sunday in the first round of legislative elections in France, with 21,442 votes ahead only for Together!, according to the results of the Ministry of the Interior. .
The Macronist alliance won 25.75% of the vote and the Nupes around Jean-Luc Mélenchon 25.66%. Abstention rose to 52.49%, a record.
Shaken by the Nupes, Macronie therefore sets off again this Monday in the campaign to try to maintain its absolute majority in the National Assembly during the second round in a week.
The suspense is total to know if Emmanuel Macron will manage, two months after his re-election, to maintain an absolute majority of 289 seats, allowing him to have his reforms voted on, starting with that of pensions. The various institutes give the Macron camp within a range of 255 to 295 seats, when the left (LFI, PCF, PS and EELV) gathered under the Nupes banner, is estimated between 150 to 210 seats.
“The majority is far from certain (…) This is a very serious warning addressed to Emmanuel Macron”insists Brice Teinturier, Deputy CEO of Ipsos France. “What was acquired the day after the presidential election is less so this evening. But the second round, the voting method will mechanically favor the Together coalition!”says Adélaïde Zulfikarpasic, director of BVA Opinion.
The problem of ministers
The other major issue in the June 19 election will be the fate reserved for the 15 candidate ministers, knowing that a defeat would immediately rhyme with the departure of the government.
All passed the first round. But some are in great difficulty, starting with the Minister for Ecological Transition and Territorial Cohesion Amélie Montchalin, the centerpiece of the government. The Minister of European Affairs Clément Beaune is also in unfavorable ballot in Paris where Nupes obtained 3 elected from the first round and comes first in 12 of the 18 constituencies. Others like Elisabeth Borne or the ministers Gabriel Attal and Olivier Véran are on the other hand well on their way to winning and thus retaining their position in government.
Mélenchon Prime Minister, a real possibility
Nupes leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon called on the “people” at “surge next sunday” in the voting booths to allow him to become Prime Minister and impose cohabitation on Emmanuel Macron, as the plural left had achieved in 1997 with Lionel Jospin.
Already Mr. Mélenchon has succeeded since the left, thanks to his historic union agreement, should be the main opposition bloc at the Palais-Bourbon, taking over from the Republicans who will count their survivors among the hundred outgoing.
The problem of the right
LREM indicated that it would not give national instructions but “case by case” in the constituencies where RN and Nupes candidates oppose each other, judging that certain candidates of the united left were “extreme”.
A judged choice “scandalous” by the ecologist Yannick Jadot and many rebels. “A democratic scandal”accused the president of SOS racism Dominique Sopo who stressed that the far right was “the camp of racism as much as of the refusal of equality and democracy”.
Faced with a start of controversy Elisabeth Borne tweeted in the evening: “Faced with the far right, we will always support candidates who respect republican values”response to a request for clarification from Fabien Roussel. “Our line: never give a voice to the far right”she clarified.
The flop of the far right
As expected, the National Rally candidates (18.5% to 19.8%) failed to capitalize on the momentum of Marine Le Pen, who had garnered more than 40% of the votes in the second round. Confined to 8 elected in 2017, the contingent of RN deputies should however be much larger this time, and still count in its ranks Ms. Le Pen, well ahead in her constituency of Pas-de-Calais (53.96% but not elected in the first round for lack of sufficient voters). From her stronghold of Hénin-Beaumont, she urged voters to “send a very important group of patriotic deputies to the new National Assembly”.
In the event of a duel between Together! and Nupes, Mrs. Le Pen encouraged her voters to “not to choose”. “France is neither a trading room nor a ZAD”, she thundered. For his part, Eric Zemmour, who was one of the leaders of the presidential election, missed his landing in politics. The far-right polemicist was eliminated in the Var, as were the other ambassadors of his Reconquest! party, Guillaume Peltier in the Loir-et-Cher and Stanislas Rigault in the Vaucluse.